We have now submitted the final assessment of the impact on fish for Swansea Bay Tidal Lagoon to Natural Resources Wales (NRW).
Following extensive discussions with NRW and its external fisheries advisors, the impacts on fish have now been modelled using an Alternative Draw Zone (ADZ) methodology. This agreed assessment approach is in addition to the IBM encounter rate and STRIKER injury rate models that were submitted for the Development Consent Order (DCO) application and considered by the Secretary of State when the DCO was granted.
Based on the Monte Carlo analysis conducted on the ADZ models, an approach agreed with NRW’s fisheries advisors, the results clearly show that impacts on both marine and migratory fish species are likely to be very low, and much lower than the figures established by NRW in November 2016.
We understand that the potential impact on migratory and marine fish species (along with associated assessments under the Conservation of Habitats and Species Regulations and Water Framework Directive) are the only remaining issues to be addressed before the Marine Licence can be determined.
NRW will now agree their consultation process before confirming timescales for a decision. We very much hope to receive the Marine Licence from NRW for this transformational project in early 2018.